|Challenges of modeling solar disturbances' arrival times at the Earth|
|Wu, S. T.; Wang, A. H.; Fry, C. D.; Feng, X. S.; Wu, C. C.; Dryer, M.; 北京8701信箱
|Source Publication||Science in China Series E-Technological Sciences
|Keyword||Space Weather-magnetohydrodynamic (Mhd) Modeling
Coronal Mass Ejection
|Abstract||In recent years remarkable advances have been made in the development of physics based models of various parts of the solar-terrestrial system (see JASTP special issues, October, November 2004; February 2007). In this paper, we focus our discussions in a specific region of the Sun to the Earth's environment (i.e. 1 AU). It is well-known that geomagnetic storms are caused by solar eruptions. The consequences of these storms include particle acceleration, solar wind impact on the Earth's magnetosphere and ionosphere, UV-EUV radiation effects on the lower atmosphere, etc. One of the main challenges is to predict the arrival time at 1 AU of the solar disturbance. The prospects look good for an accurate, real-time forecast scheme built on the acquisition of solar, heliosphere and the near-Earth data and large-scale models. However, the accuracy of these models still needs improvement. We will discuss the present status of the models and challenges to improve the simulation models.|
Wu, S. T.,Wang, A. H.,Fry, C. D.,et al. Challenges of modeling solar disturbances' arrival times at the Earth[J]. Science in China Series E-Technological Sciences,2008,51(10):1580-1588.
Wu, S. T..,Wang, A. H..,Fry, C. D..,Feng, X. S..,Wu, C. C..,...&北京8701信箱.(2008).Challenges of modeling solar disturbances' arrival times at the Earth.Science in China Series E-Technological Sciences,51(10),1580-1588.
Wu, S. T.,et al."Challenges of modeling solar disturbances' arrival times at the Earth".Science in China Series E-Technological Sciences 51.10(2008):1580-1588.
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