| Prediction of Solar Wind Speed at 1 AU Using an Artificial Neural Network | |
| Yang, Yi; Shen, Fang; Yang, Zicai; Feng, Xueshang | |
| Department | 空间科学部 |
| Source Publication | SPACE WEATHER-THE INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF RESEARCH AND APPLICATIONS
 |
| 2018 | |
| Volume | 16Issue:9Pages:1227-1244 |
| DOI | 10.1029/2018SW001955 |
| ISSN | 1542-7390 |
| Language | 英语 |
| Abstract | A hybrid intelligent source surface model applying the artificial neural network tactic for solar wind speed prediction is presented in this paper. The model is a hybrid system merging various observational and theoretical information as input. Different inputs are tested including individual parameters and their combinations in order to select an optimum. Then, the optimal model is implemented for prediction. The prediction is validated by both error analysis and event-based analysis from 2007 to 2016. The overall correlation coefficient is 0.74, and the root-mean-square error is 68 km/s. The probability for detecting a high-speed-event is 0.68, the positive predicted value is 0.73, and the threat score is 0.55. |
| Indexed By | SCI |
| Citation statistics | |
| Document Type | 期刊论文 |
| Identifier | http://ir.nssc.ac.cn/handle/122/6567 |
| Collection | 空间科学部 |
| Recommended Citation GB/T 7714 | Yang, Yi,Shen, Fang,Yang, Zicai,et al. Prediction of Solar Wind Speed at 1 AU Using an Artificial Neural Network[J]. SPACE WEATHER-THE INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF RESEARCH AND APPLICATIONS,2018,16(9):1227-1244. |
| APA | Yang, Yi,Shen, Fang,Yang, Zicai,&Feng, Xueshang.(2018).Prediction of Solar Wind Speed at 1 AU Using an Artificial Neural Network.SPACE WEATHER-THE INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF RESEARCH AND APPLICATIONS,16(9),1227-1244. |
| MLA | Yang, Yi,et al."Prediction of Solar Wind Speed at 1 AU Using an Artificial Neural Network".SPACE WEATHER-THE INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF RESEARCH AND APPLICATIONS 16.9(2018):1227-1244. |
| Files in This Item: | ||||||
| File Name/Size | DocType | Version | Access | License | ||
| 2018SW001955.pdf（10116KB） | 期刊论文 | 出版稿 | 开放获取 | CC BY-NC-SA | Application Full Text | |
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